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Offender Profiling Series: Vol 1
Interviewing and Deception

Edited by David Canter & Laurence Alison (1999)






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Interviewing and Deception
Bryan Tully

Statement Validation

The major premise of statement analysis stems from empirical evidence that the recall of real events differs noticeably from fabricated accounts in (Undeutsch, 1954; Trankell, 1972; Wegner, 1989). Udo Undeutsch pioneered the technique of credibility assessment to develop relatively precise, definable criteria, that may help discern valid statements from artificial ones. This chapter outlines the original "Undeutsch Hypothesis" (Undeutsch, 1954), highlighting its complexities, limitations and its developments into Criteria Based Content Analysis (CBCA), (Stellar and Kohnken, 1989). After much empirical testing CBCA is generally considered the most systematised aspect of the overall Statement Validity Analysis procedure.

This chapter looks at the development of credibility assessment, and emphasises the difficulties apparent to researchers when evaluating the technique. These include setting up of adequate field studies using real cases, problems of cognitive and motivational issues affecting the reliability of statements and the possible variations in the use of the criteria available to statement analysis. Although often discredited as being a relatively subjective technique, this chapter concludes that statement analysis is a means of applying psychological knowledge, not a conclusion generator in its own right.


Bryan Tully is a Chartered Clinical, Occupational and Forensic Psychologist. He was trained and worked in various NHS settings and was a Research Fellow for the Police Foundation UK in the early 1980s. Following this he was appointed Head of a newly created Psychology Unit for the Royal Hong Kong Police Force. Through that appointment, Dr Tully developed his interest and specialist knowledge of the problems and techniques for obtaining reliable and robust testimony from vulnerable victims and suspects in the legal system. He was trained in "Statement Validity Assessment" by the original developer of this methodology, Professor Udo Undeutsch of the University of Cologne. Since then he has met and consulted with most of the internationally leading researchers in this area. From the early 1990s Dr Tully has practised as an expert witness Psychologist and he is one of the six members of the Psychologists at Law Group based in London and Bristol. A major theme in many of the legal cases undertaken in the question or questionability of credibility of memory or reports, ranging from personal psychological injury claims to disputed confessions and so called recovered memories of childhood sexual abuse.


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